Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.049823 4.676461 5.368100 6.188191 7.134297 8.191856 9.464249
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.110648 3.904896 4.856601 6.081419 7.617078 9.480505 11.916466
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.428957 3.278733 4.372332 5.883813 7.921329 10.577020 14.309397
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.050497 2.953871 4.193234 6.019370 8.646492 12.297739 17.774548
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.689558 2.581222 3.877288 5.900780 8.988314 13.536245 20.772824
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.528946 2.464944 3.899354 6.260864 10.063948 15.972572 25.897835
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.368489 2.318131 3.845979 6.487205 10.957438 18.251998 31.133173
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.198895 2.125976 3.686191 6.508196 11.509428 20.050359 35.848125
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.003506 1.856859 3.354358 6.179383 11.405160 20.715671 38.697160
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.929856 1.791237 3.363834 6.451129 12.398505 23.428287 45.620554
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.890425 1.781928 3.471675 6.916653 13.813317 27.099487 54.891075
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.820624 1.702512 3.434330 7.093563 14.690763 29.863091 62.790450
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.739874 1.592671 3.329219 7.135283 15.337645 32.334277 70.640372
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.642962 1.434175 3.102659 6.891046 15.354568 33.528296 76.009068
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.556042 1.283388 2.869575 6.595469 15.212418 34.360137 80.716298
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.511994 1.221631 2.820567 6.702562 15.988014 37.320563 90.762456
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.454627 1.119921 2.666713 6.543290 16.120923 38.841474 97.664482
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.438525 1.114507 2.735129 6.925000 17.610108 43.766186 113.702750
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.414791 1.086440 2.745102 7.164077 18.784028 48.104687 128.985952
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.381290 1.028159 2.671956 7.180190 19.390770 51.117903 141.315016
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.332930 0.923206 2.464995 6.813089 18.929942 51.313890 146.088867
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.320005 0.912248 2.501814 7.110164 20.319271 56.621902 165.963957
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.316470 0.926933 2.609617 7.621718 22.390332 64.104910 193.340186